Research, market insights, press releases and documents for professional investors — from C8 Technologies and our global index and research partners.
Why we see Fed Chair Powell pushing back on rate cut hopium in the market
ISM March Services PMI, March Employment Report and Powell on Deck
Let's game it out...
Putting it all together, while the stock market rallied off from oversold levels yesterday, there are still multiple headwinds that could restrain its performance in the coming weeks and months.
Our only hope is that investors are able to reset the table without flipping it over.
In our note from April of 2020, which now feels like half a lifetime ago rather than less than 5 years (it’s not the years but the miles?), we wrote about how COVID and the related crises had “made it clear that in many ways, reality is more like Calvinball” than an orderly system: one where “the rules of the game around the world appear to be in flux”. This week has provided yet more evidence, if any more was needed, for this view.
Why investors will be hanging on Powell's Friday comments
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update.
What will Fed Chair Powell say on Friday?
Nvidia's guidance offers something for the bulls and the bears, but here's our take
And Nvidia will need to deliver a big beat and raise report on Wednesday
Market Wrap Despite what can be described as an Oprah Winfrey-level amount of tariff announcements coming out of the White House since Friday’s market close, yesterday was relatively muted. Major broad equity indexes ended the day little changed with the Nasdaq Composite rising a mere 0.07%, the Dow gaining…
Given that it’s Valentine’s Day, some of you may be feeling warm and fuzzy courtesy of a significant other. Of course, others might be married. But for those of you who are following the latest economic data, the warm fuzzy feeling may apply doubly. Consumer spending data could definitely give the impression all is right with the world if BofA’s Moynihan’s data applies across the board, “The bank’s retail customers are spending about 6% more money in the first 40 days of this year compared with the same period in 2024”. (Let’s go ahead and blame the weather/fires for the latest retail sales reading.)
January Retail Sales ahead, but why we're interested in the February Flash PMI data
Another week into Trump 2.0 and you’d be forgiven for starting to tune out some of the news around the administration. After all, nothing screams kabuki more than touting “yuge” concessions from the Canadian and Mexican governments that were already in the works… Admittedly it’s two birds with one stone (that was going to be thrown anyway) for the US’s neighbors, but it does make it hard to take the threat of tariffs seriously. That being said, while some of the spectacle is certainly theater, like a bullfight it does come with horns as markets and political actors react to the latest news.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update.
The impact of Apple sourcing changes
Market Wrap US Futures and overseas markets began the day playing out as everyone had envisioned, given Trump’s weekend tariff declarations. US markets opened also as expected up until Mexico’s president announced on “X” that a tacit agreement had been reached that involved Mexico bolstering its border with 10,000…
If you’re wondering what the crashing sound is in the background, it’s the bull in the China shop discussed last week as the Trump Administration works up a full head of steam. Will it go through with 25% tariffs on the US’s neighbors? Is there going to be a giant sucking sound in some parts of the economy courtesy of a potential funding freeze on federal grants and loans? Will there be a squeeze in citrus prices due to missing workers in California? The age-old shoulder shrug of “time will tell” certainly applies, but some people aren’t taking the uncertainty sitting down.
