Research, market insights, press releases and documents for professional investors — from C8 Technologies and our global index and research partners.
Why we see Fed Chair Powell pushing back on rate cut hopium in the market
ISM March Services PMI, March Employment Report and Powell on Deck
Let's game it out...
Our only hope is that investors are able to reset the table without flipping it over.
Why investors will be hanging on Powell's Friday comments
What will Fed Chair Powell say on Friday?
Nvidia's guidance offers something for the bulls and the bears, but here's our take
And Nvidia will need to deliver a big beat and raise report on Wednesday
Market Wrap Despite what can be described as an Oprah Winfrey-level amount of tariff announcements coming out of the White House since Friday’s market close, yesterday was relatively muted. Major broad equity indexes ended the day little changed with the Nasdaq Composite rising a mere 0.07%, the Dow gaining…
A short week, but some good earnings insights ahead
Given that it’s Valentine’s Day, some of you may be feeling warm and fuzzy courtesy of a significant other. Of course, others might be married. But for those of you who are following the latest economic data, the warm fuzzy feeling may apply doubly. Consumer spending data could definitely give the impression all is right with the world if BofA’s Moynihan’s data applies across the board, “The bank’s retail customers are spending about 6% more money in the first 40 days of this year compared with the same period in 2024”. (Let’s go ahead and blame the weather/fires for the latest retail sales reading.)
Our FX systems started the year with ashort USD bias (against the general consensus for a stronger USD). For the first three weeks this bias worked well as fears of blanket US tariffs did not materialize, however, in the final week of January, tariffs were announced on Mexico, Canada and China leading to some renewed USD strength. Nevertheless, so far, the measures that have been taken (with some already suspended for now) have not been as bad as feared. Looking forward to this month, we note the signals are more mixed for the USD though our hedge ratios remain negative USD for the largest currencies: EUR, GBP and JPY.
January Retail Sales ahead, but why we're interested in the February Flash PMI data
Trump and tariffs, Powell, January CPI and more earnings
Another week into Trump 2.0 and you’d be forgiven for starting to tune out some of the news around the administration. After all, nothing screams kabuki more than touting “yuge” concessions from the Canadian and Mexican governments that were already in the works… Admittedly it’s two birds with one stone (that was going to be thrown anyway) for the US’s neighbors, but it does make it hard to take the threat of tariffs seriously. That being said, while some of the spectacle is certainly theater, like a bullfight it does come with horns as markets and political actors react to the latest news.
The impact of Apple sourcing changes
Market Wrap US Futures and overseas markets began the day playing out as everyone had envisioned, given Trump’s weekend tariff declarations. US markets opened also as expected up until Mexico’s president announced on “X” that a tacit agreement had been reached that involved Mexico bolstering its border with 10,000…
If you’re wondering what the crashing sound is in the background, it’s the bull in the China shop discussed last week as the Trump Administration works up a full head of steam. Will it go through with 25% tariffs on the US’s neighbors? Is there going to be a giant sucking sound in some parts of the economy courtesy of a potential funding freeze on federal grants and loans? Will there be a squeeze in citrus prices due to missing workers in California? The age-old shoulder shrug of “time will tell” certainly applies, but some people aren’t taking the uncertainty sitting down.
Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, ServiceNow, IBM, Lam Research, Caterpillar, Mastercard, and Check Point Software (to name a few)
