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C8 Currency Compass – USD Correction II – February 2025

Newsletter 13 February 2025 · Jon Webb

Our FX systems started the year with ashort USD bias (against the general consensus for a stronger USD). For the first three weeks this bias worked well as fears of blanket US tariffs did not materialize, however, in the final week of January, tariffs were announced on Mexico, Canada and China leading to some renewed USD strength. Nevertheless, so far, the measures that have been taken (with some already suspended for now) have not been as bad as feared. Looking forward to this month, we note the signals are more mixed for the USD though our hedge ratios remain negative USD for the largest currencies: EUR, GBP and JPY.

#C8 #FX #Global #Viking Harbour

C8 Currency Compass – USD Correction – January 2025

Newsletter 17 January 2025 · Jon Webb

Our FX models for USD against EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD and NOK, which were largely USD positive last year, reversed in January. In particular, our reversion models are suggesting some strength in these currencies against USD in the near term. Nevertheless, the continued outperformance of the US economy, alongside sluggish growth in Europe, suggests that any USD reversal will not be sustained.

#C8 #FX #Global #Macro #Risk Premia #Trend Following

C8 Hedge – Currency Compass – Election Special – November 2024

Newsletter 4 November 2024 · Jon Webb

The strong USD bias worked well for our FX models last month, with our dynamic hedge adding over 1% outperformance for EURUSD and GBPUSD, and over 3% for USDJPY. We note, however, that our models have now moved to neutral for the USD against the EUR and GBP, though still look for higher USDJPY. Reducing FX risk may well be sensible given the closeness of the US Presidential election, and doubts about the accuracy of polls. Though, as we note overleaf, late momentum now marginally favours Harris.

#C8 #FX #Global #Macro

C8 Currency Compass – October 2024

Newsletter 15 October 2024 · Jon Webb · 1 file(s)

A strong start from Currency Compass last month, where we called for a 50bp Fed rate cut camp but noting our currency models point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness, so any bounce is a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges. Indeed it was, with EURUSD hitting 1.12 and GBPUSD 1.34 before falling back. Stronger US data, in particular the employment report, helped cement this view, the chart below illustrates how recent US data has pushed up the Atlanta Fed Q3 GDPNow forecast from 2% to above 3%.

#C8 #FX #Global #Macro #Trend Following

C8 Currency Compass – September 2024

Newsletter 18 September 2024 · Jon Webb

We are firmly in the 50bp rate cut camp – if the Fed is worried about employment, they need to get ahead of the curve. This is likely to put further pressure on the USD in the near term. USDJPY has hit its downside target (see below) so the benefit is more likely to accrue to the EUR and GBP. We also see the BoJ on hold this week, which adds weight to this view. However, we note our systematic models still point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness over time, so any bounce may prove a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges.

#Asia #C8 #FX #US

C8 Hedge – Hedge with an Edge

Insight 16 April 2024 · Jon Webb

We are delighted to announce that C8 Technologies is launching a systematic FX hedging platform which helps businesses easily and effectively manage their currency exposures. C8 Hedge offers corporate treasurers and investment professionals precise guidance for actively and optimally managing their foreign exchange exposures across multiple currencies, using intuitive and simple to use online tools.

#C8 #FX

C8 Hedge on The Full FX

Insight 22 February 2024 · Jon Webb

Mattias Eriksson and Jon Webb join host Colin Lambert to discuss the launch of C8 Hedge

#C8

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Trend-following in Volatile Times – the C8 Way

Newsletter 23 March 2023 · Jon Webb

The first quarter of 2023 has been notable for its skittish financial markets. First, there was optimism that this year would prove calmer than 2022, followed by renewed concern about inflation and the impact of bond holdings in the US banking system. This culminated in the forced takeover of Credit Suisse at the weekend. Traditional trend-following strategies performed strongly in 2022, but these rapid shifts in sentiment have proved more difficult to navigate. The SocGen CTA index is down 6% year-to-date, and down nearly 10% in the past week. Here is the good news! The C8 Global Active Futures index avoided this sell-off and remains up on the year. Why the difference? C8's proprietary allocation process selects from a wide range of trend and counter-trend strategies, and is responsive to volatility levels, so adapts more readily to changing market environments.

#C8 #Futures #Global #Trend Following

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Europe performs well in ‘long only’ recovery

Newsletter 16 January 2023 · Robert Minikin

The new calendar year has begun with an explosive extension of the 'long only' asset rally which has been underway since last October’s Fed signal of smaller rate hikes. The positive case for European asset markets specifically been reinforced by a new slide in regional natural prices – to levels last seen ahead of the Ukraine invasion. In this Weekly Bulletin, we take a look at how investors can build European asset market exposure on the C8 platform.

#Bonds #C8 #C8 Studio #Equities #Europe #Long Only

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Trend Following

Newsletter 24 October 2022 · Robert Minikin

Central banks have had to act aggressively to contain inflation expectations - leading to an unwinding of excess global liquidity and divergent responses across asset classes. A return to "normal" financial markets, with less policy support for asset prices and higher market volatility. In this context, there is also new investor interest in trend-following strategies that exploit diverging market dynamics. C8 Studio contains both high quality trend-following indices and innovative combination technology.

#C8 #C8 Studio #Futures #Risk Premia #Trend Following #webkh

C8 China Onshore Futures

Insight 28 September 2022 · Jon Webb · 1 file(s)

Summary: Appendix A (FIA Exchange Ranking Data) Appendix B (FIA Contract Ranking Data China Futures Market Growth & Local Exchanges Increasing Openness & Regulatory Framework C8 Program, Sub-Components & Historical Performance Competitors & Competitive Advantages Persistent Barriers to Entry & Regulatory Hurdles

#C8 #Futures #Global #Trend Following

C8 Global CTA Program (Index)

Insight 28 September 2022 · Jon Webb · 1 file(s)

C8 Global CTA Program- Opportunity Overview: C8 Global CTA Program Background: C8 Global CTA Program (Index) Program Methodology Constituents Historical Performance Diversification & Benefits to the Investor Implementation Methods

#C8 #Futures #Global #Trend Following

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Central banks meet amid forecast failures

Newsletter 20 September 2022 · Robert Minikin

Welcome to our first issue of the C8 Weekly Bulletin. With many years of market experience, we at C8 see real benefits from having a concise overview of key economic and policy developments, whatever the specific investment approach. We are happy to share this overview with our clients and partners, and, where appropriate, highlight indices on C8 Studio which resonate with the current market environment.

#Bonds #C8 #C8 Studio #Europe #Futures #Global

C8 Product Update – Aug 2022

Insight 12 August 2022 · Jon Webb

Please find below monthly updates for the following C8-driven products: C8 Corporate Bond Monthly Update, C8 Active World ESG Index, C8 Multi Asset Global Opportunities Certificate, C8 China Futures Access TRS, C8/ Greenblue Good Governance US Equity L/S Certificate

#Bonds #C8 #C8-GreenBlue #Equities #Futures #FX

C8 announces Diversified Risk Premia Index

Insight 2 December 2021 · Jon Webb

C8, the pioneering fintech platform that offers investors the ability to use direct indexing across all liquid asset classes and investment styles, today announces its Diversified Risk Premia Index, a multi-strategy portfolio which enables access to diversified indices that track a desired performance, with low volatility and strong returns. Index robustness and long-term continuity are maintained through the use of diversification and tactically allocating capital into selected constituent portfolios.

#C8 #Risk Premia