Research, market insights, press releases and documents for professional investors — from C8 Technologies and our global index and research partners.
Why we see Fed Chair Powell pushing back on rate cut hopium in the market
ISM March Services PMI, March Employment Report and Powell on Deck
Let's game it out...
Putting it all together, while the stock market rallied off from oversold levels yesterday, there are still multiple headwinds that could restrain its performance in the coming weeks and months.
Our only hope is that investors are able to reset the table without flipping it over.
In our note from April of 2020, which now feels like half a lifetime ago rather than less than 5 years (it’s not the years but the miles?), we wrote about how COVID and the related crises had “made it clear that in many ways, reality is more like Calvinball” than an orderly system: one where “the rules of the game around the world appear to be in flux”. This week has provided yet more evidence, if any more was needed, for this view.
Why investors will be hanging on Powell's Friday comments
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update.
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update
Dynamic Allocation Strategy, indicators, weightings update
What will Fed Chair Powell say on Friday?
Nvidia's guidance offers something for the bulls and the bears, but here's our take
And Nvidia will need to deliver a big beat and raise report on Wednesday
Market Wrap Despite what can be described as an Oprah Winfrey-level amount of tariff announcements coming out of the White House since Friday’s market close, yesterday was relatively muted. Major broad equity indexes ended the day little changed with the Nasdaq Composite rising a mere 0.07%, the Dow gaining…
A short week, but some good earnings insights ahead
Given that it’s Valentine’s Day, some of you may be feeling warm and fuzzy courtesy of a significant other. Of course, others might be married. But for those of you who are following the latest economic data, the warm fuzzy feeling may apply doubly. Consumer spending data could definitely give the impression all is right with the world if BofA’s Moynihan’s data applies across the board, “The bank’s retail customers are spending about 6% more money in the first 40 days of this year compared with the same period in 2024”. (Let’s go ahead and blame the weather/fires for the latest retail sales reading.)
Our FX systems started the year with ashort USD bias (against the general consensus for a stronger USD). For the first three weeks this bias worked well as fears of blanket US tariffs did not materialize, however, in the final week of January, tariffs were announced on Mexico, Canada and China leading to some renewed USD strength. Nevertheless, so far, the measures that have been taken (with some already suspended for now) have not been as bad as feared. Looking forward to this month, we note the signals are more mixed for the USD though our hedge ratios remain negative USD for the largest currencies: EUR, GBP and JPY.
January Retail Sales ahead, but why we're interested in the February Flash PMI data
Trump and tariffs, Powell, January CPI and more earnings
